Rolling forwards reduce volatility. They do not deliver long-run FX certainty.
This paper shows why carry dominates outcomes, when cross-currency swaps are actually cheaper, and how a three-layer overlay framework changes results.
Rolling forwards reduce volatility. They do not deliver long-run FX certainty.
This paper shows why carry dominates outcomes, when cross-currency swaps are actually cheaper, and how a three-layer overlay framework changes results.
Every major crisis of the past 35 years has delivered the same result. Diversification fails. Correlations converge. Liquidity disappears.
The institutions still standing had one thing their peers did not: pre-positioned convexity that generated cash inflows while everyone else was a forced seller.
The hedge is not the win. The stronger portfolio you finish with is
TPA has become the language institutions use when they do not yet have the capability to run a true integrated portfolio.
The gap between the language and the reality is where underperformance lives.
Rolling FX forwards persist for good reasons – and fail in predictable ways.
A practitioner’s guide to carry, hedge ratios, and when FX options add real value.
Portable alpha pitch decks omit the costs that determine whether the structure works.
A guide to what survives once the real numbers are run.
Asia-Pacific insurers lose 100–400bps annually to structural inefficiency.
A practitioner’s case for reframing the insurance investment office as a capital catalyst.
Australia’s super funds manage $3.5 trillion and underperform on execution, not assets.
A case for reframing the investment office as a capital steward.
Long-dated rate hedges often fail even when rates behave as expected.
The problem isn’t forecasting – it’s structure.
Collateral isn’t an operational detail anymore. It’s a structural use of capital that determines how portfolios behave under stress.
Institutions that still treat margin as plumbing don’t see the drag building until liquidity tightens and forced decisions appear.
By then, it’s already too late
Credit hedging is widely treated as prudent risk management.
In practice, many credit hedges transfer accounting volatility rather than economic loss.
Let’s explore how derivatives, structuring, and hedging choices are impacting your portfolio – and where drag is quietly creeping in.