When FX Hedging Quietly Destroys Long-Term Returns

When long-horizon equity portfolios quietly bleed returns through legacy FX hedging rules.


Sector: Family Office – Multi-Generational Portfolios
Asset Class: Global Equities with FX Forward Overlay
Situation Type: Long-horizon equity portfolio with mechanically rolled, full FX hedging policy
Primary Issue: Structural FX hedge drag driven by over-hedging, negative carry, roll leakage, and governance inertia misaligned with portfolio horizon


The Situation

A multi-generational family office holds a globally diversified equity portfolio designed to compound across decades.

FX hedging was introduced as a governance control to reduce reporting-currency volatility. Over time, this evolved into a default policy of fully hedging foreign currency exposure using rolling FX forwards.

On paper, FX risk is “managed.”In practice, the hedge framework imposes a persistent, compounding cost that was never re-underwritten as the portfolio scaled.

The result is quiet return erosion without any deterioration in underlying asset performance.


Why This Scenario Is Common

  • FX hedging introduced as prudence signalling, not an economic tool

  • Binary hedge rules adopted for simplicity and defensibility

  • Rolling forwards treated as operational maintenance

  • Carry and roll costs absorbed without explicit ownership

  • EM currencies hedged reflexively despite poor economics

  • Governance focused on hedge presence, not hedge behaviour

This is structural inertia, not a mistake.


Why It Matters

As the overlay compounds over time:

  • Negative carry quietly erodes long-term returns

  • Roll leakage accumulates through frequent execution

  • FX hedges absorb upside without proportionate drawdown protection

  • EM hedging costs exceed plausible risk reduction

  • Portfolio outcomes diverge from long-term expectations

Value is lost without any increase in portfolio resilience.


How This Is Typically Addressed

  • Maintaining full hedge ratios “for consistency”

  • Treating FX costs as unavoidable overhead

  • Avoiding change to preserve governance optics

  • Deferring action until performance drag becomes visible

These approaches preserve comfort – not outcomes.


Primary Engagement Route

Primary Offer: Hedge Rebuild™ – FX Overlay Reset
Structural redesign of an existing FX hedge programme to align hedge ratios, carry economics, roll mechanics, and governance with a genuine long-horizon portfolio objective.

Read the IC Brief (2-page decision summary)

Full structural narrative shared selectively on request.

Illustrative scenario for discussion purposes only. Not a transaction summary or client-specific case study.

Want to go deeper?

Let’s explore how derivatives, structuring, and hedging choices are impacting your portfolio and where drag is quietly creeping in.