When Hedges Work and Still Fail – the case for a monetisation doctrine

By Mike Duncan | January 2026

Why unrealised protection doesn’t change outcomes

Institutional portfolios rarely underperform because their hedges are wrong.

They underperform because unrealised protection is never acted on.

Across FX, rates, and derivatives portfolios, hedges routinely perform as designed. Mark-to-market gains appear, risk metrics improve, and governance is satisfied.

Then nothing happens.

Gains remain theoretical. Carry persists. Liquidity tightens elsewhere. When markets normalise, protection evaporates without ever changing outcomes.

The failure is not technical. It is organisational.

When decision speed lags behind instrument behaviour and authority is unclear, hedges stop being protection and become deferred risk.

Read the Executive Brief
When Hedges Work and Still Fail

When Hedges Work And Still Fail

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